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새정치민주연합 안철수 공동대표의 기초공천폐지안이 정면승부를 내기가 어려워진 가운데 당내 안대표의 리더십이 흔들리고 있다.
안 대표와 김한길 공동대표는 9일 기초선거 정당 공천 폐지 여부를 당원 투표와 여론조사 방식으로 결정하기로 했지만 이는 정치적 파장을 고려한 일종의 “출구전략”이라고 전문가들이 분석했다.
한국외대 이정희 교수는 “6.4 지방선거 전 기초공천폐지를 (할 때 득실을) 명확하게 봤어야 했는데. 현실적으로 어렵다는 걸 알게 된 것 같다”고 “정면돌파하기가 어려울 것 같다”라고 내다봤다.
이 교수는 또한 “안 대표가 민주당과 연대 통합할 때 기초공천폐지를 가지고 했는데 이게 고리가 매우 약하다”며 “대의명분이 아니라 약속을 지킬 수 있는 정파와 안 지키는 정파의 논리로 갔던 게 위험했다”라고 말했다.
안 대표는 8일 당원과 국민 뜻을 물어 정당공천 폐지 여부를 결정하겠다고 밝히면서 “정치 생명을 걸고 이번 문제를 돌파하겠다”고 말한 것으로 전해졌다. 기자 회견 문에도 ‘대표직까지 걸겠다’는 문구를 넣으려다 김 대표 등의 만류로 넣지 않은 것으로 알려졌다.
이는 기초선거 정당 공천 폐지를 둘러싼 당 안팎의 논란을 미리 차단 시키겠다는 의지로 풀이된다.
조사 결과가 ‘무공천’로 나오면 안 대표는 지방선거 준비에 매진 할 수 있는 당내 지지를 확인하게 되겠지만, 새누리당과 다른 룰로 겨뤄서 기초선거에서 참패한다면 그에 대한 책임회피가 어려울 전망이다.
하지만 투표와 여론조사에서 ‘무공천 철회’로 나오면 안 대표의 신뢰 이미지는 큰 타격을 입게 되는 것 뿐만 아니라 지지세력으로부터 질타를 피하기 어려울 것이라는 해석이 나오고 있다.
이 교수는 9일 투표결과를 떠나 “안철수 리더십은 상처를 받았고 새 정치를 위한 본인의 의지도 꺾였을 것” 이라며 “앞으로 새누리 뿐만 아니라 안 대표 진영 내부에서도 반발이 예상된다”고 말했다.
안 대표는 조사 결과가 나오는 대로 그에 대한 입장 표명을 할 것으로 예상된다. 만약 공천 유지로 결론난다면 그 동안의 논란 등에 대해 대표로서 유감을 표명할 것으로 보인다.
일각에서는 안 대표가 “정치 생명을 걸겠다”던가 “대표직을 걸겠다”던가 하는 식으로 강한 의지를 표명한 만큼 실제 극단적인 선택을 하는 것 아니냐는 조심스러운 관측도 제기된다.
이에 대해 한국외대 이 교수는 ”기초공천폐지가 정치권 비리를 없애고 하는 식의 장단점을 이런 촉박한 시간에 정의 내리기가 쉽지 않다”며 “계속 문제가 커지고 본인이 버티다 보면 아마 (안 대표가) 현실 정치를 배우는 과정이 될 것”이라고 풀이 했다.
(코리아헤럴드 조정은 기자)
안 대표와 김한길 공동대표는 9일 기초선거 정당 공천 폐지 여부를 당원 투표와 여론조사 방식으로 결정하기로 했지만 이는 정치적 파장을 고려한 일종의 “출구전략”이라고 전문가들이 분석했다.
한국외대 이정희 교수는 “6.4 지방선거 전 기초공천폐지를 (할 때 득실을) 명확하게 봤어야 했는데. 현실적으로 어렵다는 걸 알게 된 것 같다”고 “정면돌파하기가 어려울 것 같다”라고 내다봤다.
이 교수는 또한 “안 대표가 민주당과 연대 통합할 때 기초공천폐지를 가지고 했는데 이게 고리가 매우 약하다”며 “대의명분이 아니라 약속을 지킬 수 있는 정파와 안 지키는 정파의 논리로 갔던 게 위험했다”라고 말했다.
안 대표는 8일 당원과 국민 뜻을 물어 정당공천 폐지 여부를 결정하겠다고 밝히면서 “정치 생명을 걸고 이번 문제를 돌파하겠다”고 말한 것으로 전해졌다. 기자 회견 문에도 ‘대표직까지 걸겠다’는 문구를 넣으려다 김 대표 등의 만류로 넣지 않은 것으로 알려졌다.
이는 기초선거 정당 공천 폐지를 둘러싼 당 안팎의 논란을 미리 차단 시키겠다는 의지로 풀이된다.
조사 결과가 ‘무공천’로 나오면 안 대표는 지방선거 준비에 매진 할 수 있는 당내 지지를 확인하게 되겠지만, 새누리당과 다른 룰로 겨뤄서 기초선거에서 참패한다면 그에 대한 책임회피가 어려울 전망이다.
하지만 투표와 여론조사에서 ‘무공천 철회’로 나오면 안 대표의 신뢰 이미지는 큰 타격을 입게 되는 것 뿐만 아니라 지지세력으로부터 질타를 피하기 어려울 것이라는 해석이 나오고 있다.
이 교수는 9일 투표결과를 떠나 “안철수 리더십은 상처를 받았고 새 정치를 위한 본인의 의지도 꺾였을 것” 이라며 “앞으로 새누리 뿐만 아니라 안 대표 진영 내부에서도 반발이 예상된다”고 말했다.
안 대표는 조사 결과가 나오는 대로 그에 대한 입장 표명을 할 것으로 예상된다. 만약 공천 유지로 결론난다면 그 동안의 논란 등에 대해 대표로서 유감을 표명할 것으로 보인다.
일각에서는 안 대표가 “정치 생명을 걸겠다”던가 “대표직을 걸겠다”던가 하는 식으로 강한 의지를 표명한 만큼 실제 극단적인 선택을 하는 것 아니냐는 조심스러운 관측도 제기된다.
이에 대해 한국외대 이 교수는 ”기초공천폐지가 정치권 비리를 없애고 하는 식의 장단점을 이런 촉박한 시간에 정의 내리기가 쉽지 않다”며 “계속 문제가 커지고 본인이 버티다 보면 아마 (안 대표가) 현실 정치를 배우는 과정이 될 것”이라고 풀이 했다.
(코리아헤럴드 조정은 기자)
<관련 영문기사>
[NEWSMAKER] Ahn’s leadership totters amid growing disputes over nomination system
The main opposition leader Ahn Cheol-soo and his vision of new politics face an uphill battle in and out of the party as his key proposal to abolish the existing candidate nomination system ran aground without making progress.
The maverick lawmaker along with the party’s cochairman Rep. Kim Han-gil said Tuesday they will conduct a survey and a party vote to decide on the candidate nomination system for the June 4 local election. The decision was widely seen as an “exit strategy” to curb growing intraparty conflict as well as to avoid further disappointing supporters. Ahn made a rare move as an opposition party leader visiting Cheong Wa Dae last week to request talks with President Park Geun-hye on the issue. President Park, on Monday, rejected his call.
Backing down from its principle of eliminating the system, the party put the issue to a vote on Wednesday to decide whether to stick to it or not. Whatever the result will be, experts say, Ahn’s leadership will be put into question.
“Ahn faces a bumpy road ahead. His leadership was hurt as well as his own will to pursue his vision of new politics,” said Lee Chung-hee, political science professor at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.
With the local election less than two months away, the fate of the nomination system has become a bone of contention. And not only between the rival parties but also within New Politics Alliance for Democracy, which was launched last month through the merger of Ahn’s followers and the liberal opposition Democratic Party.
The abolishment of the party nomination system was one of the most important causes, that made the merger possible. It was a foundation for what they call “new politics.”
But the nomination system issue was too weak to keep the two opposition blocs tied up and to increase pressure against the ruling party. The bigger problem is that the new party was too busy highlighting that it was a presidential pledge that Park failed to keep.
“The opposition party raised the issue by laying the blame at the feet of the president and Saenuri. It also made a stark contrast that, unlike them, the opposition will keep the promise. It was too risky, too idealistic,” Lee said.
The party-administered nomination system has been denounced for corrupt links between aspirant candidates and party executives.
Although abolishing the nomination system in local elections was a key political reform pledge of President Park Geun-hye, the ruling Saenuri Party has since backtracked, saying it may be unconstitutional.
In contrast, the opposition party has stuck to its promise despite resistance from some within the party who argue that forgoing nominations on its own would give the ruling party an unfair advantage.
But Lee says it will be difficult to get rid of the party nomination system soon, adding that it is the representation of “politics in realities.”
“Considering its long tradition and impact, it is really hard to eliminate the system in such a short period of time. Maybe, Ahn may have learned about the politics in realistic sense this time,” Lee said.
By Cho Chung-un (christory@heraldcorp.com)
[NEWSMAKER] Ahn’s leadership totters amid growing disputes over nomination system
The main opposition leader Ahn Cheol-soo and his vision of new politics face an uphill battle in and out of the party as his key proposal to abolish the existing candidate nomination system ran aground without making progress.
The maverick lawmaker along with the party’s cochairman Rep. Kim Han-gil said Tuesday they will conduct a survey and a party vote to decide on the candidate nomination system for the June 4 local election. The decision was widely seen as an “exit strategy” to curb growing intraparty conflict as well as to avoid further disappointing supporters. Ahn made a rare move as an opposition party leader visiting Cheong Wa Dae last week to request talks with President Park Geun-hye on the issue. President Park, on Monday, rejected his call.
Backing down from its principle of eliminating the system, the party put the issue to a vote on Wednesday to decide whether to stick to it or not. Whatever the result will be, experts say, Ahn’s leadership will be put into question.
“Ahn faces a bumpy road ahead. His leadership was hurt as well as his own will to pursue his vision of new politics,” said Lee Chung-hee, political science professor at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.
With the local election less than two months away, the fate of the nomination system has become a bone of contention. And not only between the rival parties but also within New Politics Alliance for Democracy, which was launched last month through the merger of Ahn’s followers and the liberal opposition Democratic Party.
The abolishment of the party nomination system was one of the most important causes, that made the merger possible. It was a foundation for what they call “new politics.”
But the nomination system issue was too weak to keep the two opposition blocs tied up and to increase pressure against the ruling party. The bigger problem is that the new party was too busy highlighting that it was a presidential pledge that Park failed to keep.
“The opposition party raised the issue by laying the blame at the feet of the president and Saenuri. It also made a stark contrast that, unlike them, the opposition will keep the promise. It was too risky, too idealistic,” Lee said.
The party-administered nomination system has been denounced for corrupt links between aspirant candidates and party executives.
Although abolishing the nomination system in local elections was a key political reform pledge of President Park Geun-hye, the ruling Saenuri Party has since backtracked, saying it may be unconstitutional.
In contrast, the opposition party has stuck to its promise despite resistance from some within the party who argue that forgoing nominations on its own would give the ruling party an unfair advantage.
But Lee says it will be difficult to get rid of the party nomination system soon, adding that it is the representation of “politics in realities.”
“Considering its long tradition and impact, it is really hard to eliminate the system in such a short period of time. Maybe, Ahn may have learned about the politics in realistic sense this time,” Lee said.
By Cho Chung-un (christory@heraldcorp.com)
